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  • August 12, 2018 10:12 AM | Anonymous member (Administrator)

    This article will be periodically updated. For the most current status information, please scroll down to the bottom.

    One of our club members has found the building permit for the "Coming Soon" Supercharger Station in Jacksonville which is planned to open later this year according to Tesla's Find Us map.  It is located at 4866 Gate Parkway, Jacksonville.  Google lists this location as a Wawa gas station.

    Here is a vicinity map.  You'll notice that it is about one half mile from the existing Tesla Store in Jacksonville. It is located across Gate Parkway from the Markets at Town Center which is the final expansion phase of the St. Johns Town Center.


    We are not sure from the permit, but we believe this may be an 8-stall Supercharger Station.

    Update as of July 25, 2018.


    The above photo shows the high voltage switchgear on the left. The conduits stubbed up to the right of the switchgear is where the Supercharger Cabinets will go.

    Update as of August 11, 2018.

    The photo below shows four Supercharger Cabinets corresponding to eventually 8 charging terminals for this Supercharger Station.


    Update as of August 12, 2018.

    Two charging terminals have now been installed.


    If you live nearby, please periodically check the progress and send me some high resolution photos.

    Larry Chanin
    President, Florida Tesla Enthusiasts
    lfchanin@gmail.com

  • August 07, 2018 10:09 AM | Anonymous member (Administrator)

    As you may be aware, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) released a proposal that would roll back the Clean Air Standards for combustion vehicles. It also proposes to revoke the authority of states to set greater limits on tailpipe emissions.  Such an ill-advised action would not only adversely affect public health, but it could inhibit the growth of electric vehicles.

    Below is an email that I received from Plug In America which asks us to take a stand against this proposal.  Our club's board of directors and I unanimously support their position and we encourage you to sign their petition.

    In the event that the petition form is pre-filled with my contact information, please make sure that you insert your information in its place.

    Thank you. 

    Larry Chanin

    President, Florida Tesla Enthusiasts

    Website: teslaownersflorida.org

    Facebook: Florida Tesla Enthusiasts

    Dear Lawrence,

    It’s time to take a stand for the EV and cleaner cars. Today, the Trump Administration released a proposal that would roll back the clean car standards and freeze them until 2026. As if this wasn’t bad enough, the proposal also calls for revoking the authority of states like California and the 12 other states plus D.C. to set stronger limits on tailpipe pollution. This includes the zero emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate, the largest policy driver of EV sales today.

    This is a direct attack on the EV—sign this petition to defend the EV!

    The EPA claims that the ZEV standards are “technologically infeasible” and don’t give the automakers enough time to develop the necessary technology. The last time we checked, there were more makes and models of EVs in the market than ever before, and all automakers have announced the plans for more EVs to come in the next few years.

    Tell the EPA and Department of Transportation that you stand for EVs and clean cars!

    Plug In America will be joining a lawsuit to defend the EV from the devastating effects this proposal will have—not just on the EV market, but on clean air, national security, public health and the global climate. We can’t do this without your help, so please make a contribution to Plug In America today.

    Please share this petition as widely as you can.

    Thank you,
    The team at Plug In America

  • August 06, 2018 10:13 AM | Anonymous member (Administrator)


    Florida Tesla Enthusiasts and the Southwest Florida EV Owners celebrated the opening of the the new 14-terminal Fort Myers Supercharger Station.

    We had a meet-up and an excellent lunch at the nearby Texas Roadhouse Restaurant.  

    Here's some photos.  What a good-looking group!

     













    Larry Chanin
    President, Florida Tesla Enthusiasts
    lfchanin@gmail.com

  • August 04, 2018 5:59 PM | Anonymous member (Administrator)


    Site Map of Renaissance Centre, location of new Supercharger Station in Altamonte Springs under construction.

    Back in August 2017 the following was reported on Facebook, “Altamonte Springs GMD (Growth Management Department) county official confirms location in Renaissance shopping center near Whole Foods!!!! However, while expected to be approved, it hasn't been approved yet due to landscaping delay. They said "3 weeks is very optimistic". When asked if it will be before end of year, "probably the approval".

    Since then there had been no activity until last week when the following photo was posted on Facebook demonstrating that construction has started next to the Ulta Store at Renaissance Centre in Altamonte Springs.


    This Site Inspection Record clearly describes Tesla Charging Stations which correspond to Tesla's Find Us web page listing an Altamont Springs, FL "Coming Soon" Supercharger Station.

    As of March 6, 2018:


    This recent photo shows that there will be 8 charging stalls.

    Update as of March 30, 2018.


    Charging terminals installed, but still covered.

    Update as of April 29, 2018:

    Recent photos suggest that the Tesla contractor has completed its portion of the work, but so far no one has seen signs of any utility work such as power transformer, cable pole, meter cabinet, etc.  Below are photos of the enclosure  housing the 4 Tesla Supercharger Cabinets and the 2 high voltage switchgear cabinets. 

       


    Update as of May 31, 2018.

    On May 26, 2018 it was reported on the Tesla Motors Club forum that the Superchargers were working even though the station was not listed as operational on the Tesla website.  It was also reported that the charging parking spaces were heavily ICEd.  It was noted that Tesla had not yet installed any signage.  Shortly afterward the power to the Supercharger Station was disconnected. 

    Above photo show severe ICEing presumably resulting from the absence of Tesla signage.

    One of our club members visited the station and spoke to a Tesla technician on site. The technician stated that the power was being disconnected due to technicalities related to permitting from the City.  Subsequently,  a local resident brought the situation to the attention of the Altamonte Springs local government and received the following email from the Assistant to the City Manager. (For a full-sized version of the email below, right click on the image and open it in a new tab.)


    The initial response from the City is not encouraging and suggests that there may never be Tesla signage limiting general parking unless their position changes.  I have sent an email to the Tesla describing the issue and requesting feedback.  I have not yet received a response.

    Update as of August 4, 2018.

    The Altamonte Springs Supercharger Station is operational and this time it appears to be permanent since the Tesla Find Us map and the navigation systems of the Tesla fleet display the station.  Unfortunately, currently there still is no Tesla signage and the station is heavily ICEd as can be seen in the photo below. 


    Tesla informs me, "We are aware of the ICE-ing at Altamonte and will be addressing accordingly."


    Larry Chanin
    President, Florida Tesla Enthusiasts

  • August 04, 2018 12:39 PM | Anonymous member (Administrator)

    Some of the 20 Supercharger terminals at the Sarasota Supercharger Station. 

    Tesla owners in Florida are fortunate to have an abundance of Supercharger Stations. With 29 operating Supercharger Stations, Florida is ranked third in the nation behind California and Texas. Those 29 stations provide access to 281 individual Direct Current Fast Charging terminals that can charge at over 300 miles of range per hour. 

    As Tesla continues to aggressively expand the number of Supercharger Stations in the Florida network, the size of many of these newer stations is also growing impressively.  For instance, whereas the first Supercharger Station in the state had 8 charging terminals, last September Tesla built a Supercharger Station in Sarasota with 20 – 120 kW terminals. 

    Tesla has also introduced a new type of Urban Supercharger terminal. Designed for tight city locations the Urban Superchargers have a more compact design than the original Superchargers and they are deployed in even greater numbers.  For example, the new Urban Supercharger Station that recently went operational in Aventura Mall has 35 – 72 kW terminals. 

    Some of the 35 Urban Supercharger terminals in the garage at Aventura Mall.

    Below is a comprehensive table listing the locations of all of the 29 “Coming Soon” Supercharger Stations. 19 are planned for 2018 and 10 2019 for Florida.  In addition, the table lists all 29 of the operating Supercharger Stations. For the operating stations, click the link to the name of the station for a description of the amenities available nearby.  In the comments section of the table are links to our articles discussing those "Coming Soon" locations that we have discovered to date. 

    Supercharger Station Terminals kW Status Comment
    Destin     Open 2018  
    Jacksonville     Open 2018 The location of the "Coming Soon" Supercharger Station in Jacksonville has been discovered (Public)
    Gainesville     Open 2018 Confirmed the location of the “Coming Soon” Gainesville Supercharger Station will be at Butler Town Center (Public)
    Celebration     Open 2018  
    Tampa, FL - Wesley Chapel     Open 2018  
    Tampa, FL - Clear Water     Open 2018  
    Lakeland     Open 2018  
    Yeehaw Junction     Open 2018  
    West Palm Beach     Open 2018  
    Boca Raton     Open 2018  
    North Naples     Open 2018  
    Weston     Open 2018  
    Pembroke Pines     Open 2018 Found Pembroke Pines, "Coming Soon" Supercharger Station Location (Public) 
    Riverside Park     Open 2018  
    Hollywood     Open 2018  
    Miami Beach, FL - Bal Harbour     Open 2018  
    Miami, FL - Wynwood     Open 2018 “Coming Soon” Miami – “Wynwood” Supercharger is operational in the Design District (Public)
    Miami Beach, FL - South Beach     Open 2018  
    Miami, FL - Coral Gables     Open 2018  
    Pensacola     Open 2019  
    Palm Coast     Open 2019  
    Winter Park     Open 2019  
    Union Park     Open 2019  
    Winter Garden     Open 2019  
    Millenia     Open 2019  
    Cocoa West     Open 2019  
    Beach Park     Open 2019  
    Ochopee, FL (Alligator Alley)     Open 2019 At Ochopee on Alligator Alley the only suitable location is the Miccosukee Service Plaza.
    Key West     Open 2019  
    DeFuniak Springs  5 120 Operational  
    Tallahassee 6 120 Operational  
    Live Oak 12 120 Operational  
    Lake City 6 120 Operational  
    St. Augustine 6 120 Operational  
    Ocala 8 120 Operational  
    Port Orange 6 120 Operational  
    Turkey Lake 6 120 Operational  
    Orlando, FL - W. Sand Lake Rd 8 120 Operational  
    Tampa -Wawa 8 120 Operational  
    Brandon 8 120 Operational  
    Pinellas Park 8 120 Operational  
    West Melbourne 8 120 Operational  
    Fort Drum 6 120 Operational  
    Sarasota 20 120 Operational  
    Port St. Lucie 8 120 Operational  
    West Palm Beach 8 120 Operational  
    Fort Myers 8 120 Operational  
    Naples 8 120 Operational  
    Plantation 8 120 Operational Existing Plantation Supercharger Station is undergoing an expansion. (Public)
    Aventura 35 72 Operational  
    Miami, FL - SW 8th Street  10 72 Operational  
    Miami, FL - SW 7th Street  13 72 Operational  
    Florida City 8 120 Operational  
    Marathon 4 120 Operational  
    Delray Beach 18  120   Operational “Coming Soon” Delray Beach Supercharger found operational at Delray Marketplace (Public)
    Fort Myers 14  120   Operational “Coming Soon” Fort Myers Supercharger location found under construction [Operational](Public)
    Tampa, FL - Hyde Park   10  120   Operational "Coming Soon" Supercharger at Tampa-Hyde Park located [Operational] (Public)
    Altamont Springs 120   Operational Construction has Started on the Altamonte Springs Supercharger Station [Operational] (Public)



    Update as of June 15, 2018:

    New Fort Myers Supercharger Station located, table updated.

    Existing Plantation Supercharger Station is undergoing an expansion. 

    Update as of June 18, 2018:

    Permits were  located for the "Coming Soon" Gainesville Supercharger Station. It will be located at the Butler Plaza North Town Center and will have 10 charging terminals.  

    Update as of June 28, 2018:

    New Miami - "Wynwood" Supercharger Station, now named NE 41st Station is operational, table updated.

    Update as of June 30, 2018.

    Permits were located for the "Coming Soon" Jacksville Supercharger Station. It will be located at a new Wawa gas station at 4866 Gate Parkway, Jacksonville.

    Update as of July 1, 2018.

    They “Coming Soon” Delray Beach Supercharger was actually discovered operating at Delray Marketplace at West Atlantic Avenue.

    Update as of August 1, 2018.

    Although the Tesla Find Us map and the the Tesla fleet's navigation systems do not currently show the Tampa Hyde Park Supercharger Station as being operation, it has been reported on the Tesla Motors Club forum that the station is in fact operational.

    Update as of August 4, 2018.

    The Altamonte Springs Supercharger Station is operational.


    Please be on the lookout for signs of construction at the listed “Coming Soon” locations.  If you spot any construction activity that looks like a Supercharger installation, please send me some high resolution photos.

    Larry Chanin
    President, Florida Tesla Enthusiasts
    Email: lfchanin@gmail.com


  • August 02, 2018 11:03 AM | Anonymous member (Administrator)

    The status of this Supercharger Station will be periodically updated. Please scroll down to the bottom of this article for the latest update.

    It appears that Tesla is adding 8 additional charging terminals to the existing Plantation Supercharger Station.  



    Update as of July 18, 2018.


    It appears that Tesla's contractor has poured the concrete pad and stubbed out conduits for the future 4 Supercharger Cabinets.

    Update as of August 1, 2018.

    5 of 8 of the Supercharger Terminals for the expansion have been intalled.


    Update as of August 2, 2018.

    Here's a photo of the enclosure for the new Supercharger cabinets.


    All 8 of the new Supercharger terminals have now been installed. 


    If you live nearby, please periodically check the progress and send me some high resolution photos.

    Larry Chanin
    President, Florida Tesla Enthusiasts
    lfchanin@gmail.com


  • August 01, 2018 9:42 AM | Anonymous member (Administrator)


    PLEASE MAKE SURE THAT YOU SCROLL DOWN TO THE BOTTOM OF THIS ARTICLE FOR PERIODIC UPDATES:

    A member of the Tesla Motors Club forum has discovered the location of the "Coming Soon" Supercharger Station at Tampa - Hyde Park.  In searching the online permit records for the City of Tampa he was successful in locating a building permit for a 10 stall Supercharger Station to be located in the parking lot of the Winn-Dixie supermarket at 2100 W Swann Ave, Tampa

    Below is a vicinity map.  It is located near the Selmon Crosstown Expressway and about 5 miles south of I-275.


    Based on the plans submitted by Tesla for the permit, the red rectangle in the Google street view below of the Winn-Dixie parking shows where the charging stalls will be located.


    Based on the permit notes it appears that the construction plans have been approved, a building permit was issued on May 31st, 2018 and the project has just begun to enter the inspection phase. 

    Update as of June 14, 2018.

    Construction has started in the Winn-Dixie parking lot.


    Update as of June 21, 2018.

    Construction is coming along nicely the 5-Supercharger Cabinets and high voltage switchgear have been installed and 8 of the planned 10 charging terminals have been set.



    Update as of June 29, 2018.

    It looks like all of Tesla's contractors major work is done. All the Supercharger cabinets, high voltage switchgear, the 10 charging terminals and the utility meter cabinet have been installed.  It now remains for the utility equipment to be installed.  

    To view a larger version of the photos, right click on the images and open them in a separate tab.


    Update as of July 26, 2018.


    The City of Tampa issued the Certificate of Completion on July 26, 2018. We expect this Supercharger Station to be operational any day now.

    Update as of August 1, 2018.

    Although the Tesla Find Us map and the the Tesla fleet's navigation systems do not currently show this Supercharger Station as being operation, it has been reported on the Tesla Motors Club forum that the station is in fact operational.

    If you live in the area, please visit the location and send me a photo demonstrating that your car is charging. Thanks.

    Larry Chanin
    President, Florida Tesla Enthusiasts
    Email: lfchanin@gmail.com
  • July 27, 2018 1:56 PM | Anonymous member (Administrator)


    Tesla Model 3 Long-Range Rear Wheel Drive                                                                    Source: Car & Driver


    This April 2018 in-depth review (link below) by Car & Driver of the long-range, rear wheel drive Model 3 is worth reading if you are considering a Model 3.

    In-Depth Review
    2018 Tesla Model 3
    APRIL 2018 BY JOSEPH CAPPARELLA PHOTOS BY BRAD FICK

    The review is the most comprehensive that I have read so far, and it should assist prospective buyers. However, some of the initial shortcomings mentioned in this early review have already been corrected by Tesla in Model 3s being currently produced.  My wife and I own the same configuration as reviewed.  It's an excellent review and for the most part I have no problems with it. However, in this article I will note any changes that have occurred since the review, or any differences in opinion that I have with elements of their review.

    Fuel Economy and Driving Range Rating: 

    The reviewers (from Detroit) devised their own fuel economy test that drove the car faster than typical posted highway speeds and took their measurements at 28 degrees Fahrenheit. Unsurprisingly the car didn’t meet the official published EPA results.  At Florida temperatures, and traveling at posted highway speeds, this version of the Model 3 will probably go actually further than the EPA sticker value of 310 rated miles. We learned that the testing data that Tesla provided to the EPA would support an actual range of 334 rated miles, but Tesla asked EPA to list the rated miles as 310.

    We currently have 1,656 miles on our Model 3 which are much more miles than the reviewers had to perform their tests. From our trip odometer the average efficiency for our total mileage is 233 Wh/mi.  This is significantly less than the published EPA rating of 270 Wh/mile.  Bottom line: The car is extremely efficient and I believe the published 130 MPGe.

    Interior and Passenger Space Rating:

    I agree with the reviewers that the rear seating is uncomfortable, especially for taller people.  Tesla has since revised the rear seating to address this issue.

    Although I haven’t used a decibel meter in our car, I am positive that the interior noise is nowhere near 69 decibels.  Update: I used a free phone app to measure the sound levels in the car at 70 mph. The readings did not exceed about 50 decibels. We experience a very quite ride similar to our Model S.

    Rear visibility is poor as the reviewers point out, but the high definition backup camera provides an excellent rear view when the car is in reverse and if needed it can be turned on when moving forward.

    Cargo Space and Storage Rating: 

    The cargo and storage space is half that of a Model S, but nevertheless quite adequate for most situations.  The Model 3 has certain storage and convenience features not found on the premium Model S such as door pockets, a rear folding armrest with cup holders and clothing hooks.  The Model 3’s Center Console has quite a bit of storage space.

    Safety and Driver Assistance Rating: 

    At the time of the review there was no blind-spot monitoring or automatic high beams, but those feature have been added. The blind-spot monitoring is the same as in the Model S & X, but personally I find it to be of marginal value as currently implemented. I would prefer an indicator in the side view mirrors rather on the dash or center displays.

    Engine and Transmission Rating: 

    The review incorrectly states, “When combined with an adapter and the Model 3’s onboard charger, 240-volt outlets can add between 11 and 30 miles per hour of charging,…”  Whereas it is true that most public SAE J-1772 chargers rarely have a capacity to permit an EV to charge at more than 30 miles of range per hour, if you were to find a high-capacity public charger of 60 amps (11.5 kW) or more, the long-range Model 3 can charge at up to 44 miles of range per hour with a J-1772 adapter.  We charge our Model 3 at home at this speed connected to a Tesla High Power Wall Connector rated for 80 continuous amps. For comparison, our Model S with a high capacity on-board charger charges at around 55 miles of range per hour.

    The review fails to mention that the new second generation Mobil Connector that comes with the Model 3. It plugs into either a 110 volt or 240 volt outlet and will only handle a maximum of 32 amp, or 30 miles of range per hour.  If you have the first generation Mobil Connector, it will handle a maximum of 40 amps, or 37 miles of range per hour when plugged into your long-range Model 3.

    Performance and Driving Impressions Rating: 

    The review states, “…you do hear plenty of noise inside the cabin as the tires thwack and thrum when driving over pavement imperfections.”  This is not my wife's or my experience.

            Braking

    The review stated, “…we did notice a bizarre amount of variation in our test, which involves six consecutive panic stops—the third of these stops took an interminable 196 feet.” Consumer Reports (CR) were also critical of the braking on the early Model 3s.  However, within a couple of days following the CR review Tesla was able to send out an over-the-air update to resolve the issue.  In fact. CR was very impressed with the fix. 

    “I’ve been at CR for 19 years and tested more than 1,000 cars,” says Jake Fisher, director of auto testing at Consumer Reports, “and I’ve never seen a car that could improve its track performance with an over-the-air update.”

    The Car & Driver review stated, “In normal driving, you’ll rely more on the regenerative brakes than the brake pedal. However, we’d prefer more configurability in that system than the two modes of regen currently offered, as neither can bring the car to a complete stop and enable one-pedal driving as the Chevrolet Bolt EV and some other EVs offer.”

    Whereas I agree that in normal driving most drivers rely more on regenerative braking than mechanical breaking, I strongly disagree with their observation that regenerative braking can’t bring the Model 3 to a complete stop.  I use one-pedal driving on both our Model 3 and S, and both have aggressive regenerative braking when set in the Standard setting. 

    For safety when coming to a stop after using one-pedal regenerative breaking, I always also apply the mechanical brake (press the brake pedal) to ensure the car is firmly stopped. This will automatically set the Hill Hold feature which applies the electronic parking break to prevent the car from rolling on inclines. The brake is instantaneously released when pressing the accelerator. 

    Exterior Design and Dimensions: 

    The review states, “It incorporates many design elements from the more expensive Model S, making it immediately recognizable as a Tesla, but it’s significantly taller and less sporty looking than its low-slung, sleek-sedan sibling. Also, of some concern were the large and inconsistent panel gaps present on our test car, which raise questions about the car’s assembly quality.”

    Whereas this is a personal taste sort of thing, I agree that the Model 3 while resembling a Model S is slightly less sporty looking.  However, in their summary remarks they go on to state, ”Not-so-sporty, bloblike shape,…”. The remark “ bloblike” in my opinion is nowhere near the truth, but this is something prospective buyers can easily decide for themselves.

    Regarding the fit and finish we didn’t experience any problems with panel gaps, etc. In fact, the quality was slightly better than our Model S purchased a year earlier.

    Exterior Features

    The review accurately described the two means of gaining access to the car, the smartphone Tesla application and the backup card keys. Apparently they didn’t run into any problems.  In our case, and in talking to other early Model 3 owners, gaining access could be a frustrating experience when relying on the phone app as the primary means of entry.  In fact, my wife abandoned it entirely and devised a lanyard that she would wear around her neck with the card key attached.

    For the most part, the problems with the Tesla phone app resolved themselves within a couple of weeks’ ownership.  Nevertheless, I prefer the key fob entry system of the Model S in which we never experience a problem.


    Well, that's it, we welcome your input. I will be publishing this article both as a Public and Private News article. 

    For our club members, to leave a comment or ask questions, sign on to our website with your email address and password, then go to the Members-Only Club News version of the article.

    If you are a non-member and have a question, you can email me at lfchanin@gmail.com.


    Larry Chanin
    President, Florida Tesla Enthusiasts


  • July 12, 2018 4:11 PM | Anonymous member (Administrator)


    Recently a club member located renovations in progress on the old Bob Wilson Dodge location at 11945 North Florida Avenue in Tampa.  It appears to be a new or additional Tampa Service Center nearing completion about 14 miles from the existing Tampa Service Center.  


    Update May 1, 2018.

    One of our club members located the following information from Tesla's Building Contractor, Scherer Construction.  This status appears to be as of May 1, 2018.  Their posted completion date of Summer 2018 appears to be optimistic.  Our best information suggests it will be ready no earlier than October, 2018 or it may even open next year.

    "The new Tesla Dealership is a repurpose of an existing auto dealership and 384 parking space garage with an office space. With only a building slab remaining, demolition of the slab and utilities were completed and the new dealership footprint installed. This project has been broken up into two phases. The first phase was the renovation of the parking garage in which all new electrical, paint, structural repairs, and replacement of the elevator was completed. In addition, the 8,000
    square foot interior office space which will be used for vehicle delivery was also completed. The second phase is a new 30,000 square foot dealership and service center. The structure is made of tilt wall panels and will include 6 large overhead bay doors for the service center."

    Here's their most recent aerial photo as of May 1, 2018.

    Update as of July 12, 2018.



  • July 12, 2018 1:47 PM | Anonymous member (Administrator)

    Image result for model 3

    Tesla has hit the 200,000th EV in July rather than June!  

    Please scroll down to the bottom of this article for a current update.

    This article has been updated to reflect current sales data.

    In Tesla’s first quarter 2018 SEC 10-Q report they stated, “…under current regulations, a $7,500 federal tax credit available in the U.S. for the purchase of qualified electric vehicles with at least 17 kWh of battery capacity, such as our vehicles, will begin to phase out over time with respect to any vehicles delivered in the second calendar quarter following the quarter in which we deliver our 200,000th qualifying vehicle in the U.S. We currently expect such 200,000th qualifying delivery to occur at some point during 2018."

    So the big question is, "In which quarter will Tesla reach that 200,000th qualifying vehicle in the US?"

    Where do we stand as of the end of May 2018?

    The table below shows the total history of Tesla sales in the U.S. through the end of May 2018:

      Jan 2018 Feb 2018 Mar 2018 Apr 2018 May 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2010-2011 Grand Total
    Model 3  1,875  2,485    3,820  3,875  6,250    1,722         -           -           -           -         -          -      20,027
    Model S     800  1,125    3,375  1,250  1,520  27,060  28,896  25,202  16,689  17,650  2,650        -    126,217
    Model X     700     975    2,825  1,025  1,450  21,315  18,223       214         -           -         -          -      46,727
    Roadster       -         -           -         -         -           -           -           -           -           -         -        815        815
    TOTAL  3,375  4,585  10,020  6,150  9,220  50,097  47,119  25,416  16,689  17,650  2,650      815  193,786

    The source of these sales numbers are from InsideEV with the exception of the number of Roadsters sold in the U.S.  

    According to IRS regulations, "The credit begins to phase out for a manufacturer’s vehicles when at least 200,000 qualifying vehicles have been sold for use in the United States (determined on a cumulative basis for sales after December 31, 2009).” I estimate that Tesla sold about 815 Roadsters in the US after December 31, 2009.  (Please refer to the footnote below for a derivation of that estimate.)

    In reviewing the above chart, Tesla is only about 6,200 EVs away from hitting the 200,000 tax credit phase out trigger.  Even if Tesla were to freeze its U.S. production rate at the May level of about 9,220 total EVs per month, they would still hit the phase out trigger at about the third week in June unless Tesla were to shift a significant number of deliveries to Canada. If they do not shift enough deliveries and the phase out trigger is hit in June, then tax credits would be reduced by half starting in October, 2018.   

    Will Tesla shift deliveries to Canada to prolong the US tax credit?

    Although Tesla has not responded to recent inquiries on this subject, back on April 3, 2016 Elon provided a tweet that hints at Tesla’s thinking on the subject of delaying hitting the 200,000 mark:


    Now, according to the article linked below from Electrek, that is precisely what Tesla is doing.

    Tesla sent out a massive Model 3 shipment to Canada as some US deliveries get delayed

    From the article:

    "Tesla is evidently starting Model 3 deliveries in Canada in a massive way with large shipments being spotted throughout the country including one with an estimated 1,000 Model 3 vehicles in Toronto.

    The massive volume in Canada is coming as Tesla delayed some Model 3 deliveries in the US.

    In March, Tesla sent a huge first batch of invites to Canadian reservation holders."


    If Tesla can temporarily redirect a few thousand Model 3 deliveries to Canada during June and delay hitting the phase out trigger until July, the beginning of a quarter, then the full tax credit could be extended by another three months.

    Furthermore, there is no limit on the number of cars that would qualify for the full tax credit during the phase out period.  So shifting U.S. deliveries to achieve hitting the trigger at the beginning of a quarter would result in more people getting the credit since Tesla is still ramping up production and therefore will be producing Model 3s at a much higher rate in the third quarter than in the second quarter.

    How Fast Will Tesla be Producing Model 3s?

    Bloomberg has a tracking system  that estimates Model 3 U.S. sales. During May Bloomberg estimated that Tesla momentarily hit a weekly production rate at over 3500. However, as of May 31, 2018 they estimate that Tesla was producing at about 1,400 per week.  From the InsideEV's May sales estimates, we can see that Tesla averaged at over 1,500 per week. 

    Elon has plans for much higher production levels.  In an internal memo to employees sent in mid-April, Elon stated that he expected weekly production rates in May to be between 3000 to 4000 per week, and between 5000 to 6000 per week in June. This hopefully will be achieved by a comprehensive set of production line upgrades and shifting to 24/7 operations. 

    Whereas, it can be seen that Tesla momentarily hit their target rate for a week in May, that rate was not be sustained for the entire month.  

    My Best Guess

    Whereas the estimated May Model 3 sales rate broke all Tesla records, it was nevertheless lower than Elon had hoped for.  However, this temporary delay in the production ramp-up does have a silver lining in that it will assist in delaying hitting the phase out trigger.  This coupled with the fact that Tesla has begun to significantly shift deliveries to Canada increases the chances of hitting the trigger in July at the beginning of a quarter.  At that time, I have confidence that Tesla will be delivering at a total combined US and Canadian rate close to the planned rate of over 5000 Model 3s per week and that the full $7,500 tax credit will be available until the end of 2018.

    Update as of July 12, 2018.

    Tesla has hit the 200,000th EV in July rather than June!

    As we had hoped for, Tesla has hit the 200,000th EV in July rather than June and has officially announced this fact on their Electric Vehicle Incentives page.

    If Tesla had hit the phase out target in June, people with orders would have had to receive delivery by September 30, 2018 in order to receive the full $7,500 tax credit.  By shifting large numbers of deliveries of the Model 3 to Canada, Tesla was able to move the phase out target to July meaning the availability the full tax credit is now an additional three months.  So as the Incentives page notes, people taking delivery before December 31, 2018 will receive the full tax credit. 

    Between now and year-end there is no limit to the number of EVs that Tesla is permitted to deliver and still receive the full tax credit.  So as Tesla continues to ramp up Model 3 production rates exponentially, this 3-month delay in the phase out significantly increases the number of Tesla owners eligible for the full tax credit. This is especially true if Tesla can hit it's goal of 10,000 cars per week before year-end.


    Larry Chanin
    President, Florida Tesla Enthusiasts

     Footnote: Derivation of Roadster estimate:

    Based on information provided on the Tesla Motors Club forum, a total of approximately 1464 Roadsters were sold in North America since the beginning of production in 2008 until the end of 2011. Likewise, an additional 780 Roadsters were sold in Europe and Asia during this period.  So ignoring Canadian sales as de minimis, about 65% of total global sales were in the U.S.  According to Tesla's 2012 SEC 10-K report, production of the Roadster ended in January 2012 and was no longer available for sale the in the U.S. after December 2011.  In addition, according to a Tesla press release, in January 2010 Tesla displayed it's 1000th Roadster at the North American International Auto Show. We can estimate of that  of that total of 1000 Roadsters, about 650 were sold in the USA before December 31, 2009. Therefore, we can subtract the 650 from the total Roadsters delivered in the U.S. between 2008 and 2011 (1464) to arrive at about 815 Roadsters delivered in the U.S. after December 31, 2009. 


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